Market Perspectives October 4, 2013

U.S. Weather/Crop Progress


U.S. Drought Monitor Weather Forecast: During the period of October 4-7, heavy precipitation (more than one and a half inches, locally to four inches) is expected from southern Montana and Wyoming eastward into the upper Great Lakes region, with a second swath of moderate rain (three quarters to two inches) from the central Gulf Coast northward into the lower Great Lakes region. Lighter totals (less than one inch) should also fall on the Pacific Northwest coast, southern Plains, and Appalachians. Mostly dry weather is forecast for the remainder of the West and along the East Coast. Temperatures should average below-normal in the West and above-normal in the East, with the largest negative departures in the north-central Rockies and High Plains and positive anomalies in the mid-Atlantic.

For the ensuing period of October 8-12, the odds favor above-normal precipitation for the Atlantic Coast States and the middle and upper Mississippi Valley. In contrast, the likelihood for subnormal precipitation is greatest in the Far West, Southwest, and Rio Grande Valley. Above-normal temperature probabilities are highest in the eastern third of the Nation and California, with the best subnormal temperature odds from the Rockies to the Great Plains. Follow this link to view current U.S. and international weather patterns and the future outlook: Weather and Crop Bulletin