Market Perspectives November 19, 2015

U.S. Weather/Crop Progress


U.S. Drought Monitor Weather Forecast: As the current USDM week came to a close, a strong cold front was moving across the Plains towards the Mississippi Valley. Several inches of rain had already fallen from eastern Texas to Mississippi and northward to Missouri and Illinois during the first day of the period for the November 24 USDM. For the upcoming four days (November 19-23), which will fill out the November 24 USDM week, the front and low pressure system will drop one inch or more of precipitation across the Southeast to Mid-Atlantic States and parts of the Great Lakes and Northeast. Two inches or more of rain are predicted for parts of Alabama to the Southern Appalachians. A band of precipitation is forecast from the Upper Mississippi Valley, across the Central Plains and Wyoming, to the Pacific Northwest, with amounts ranging generally from a tenth to half an inch, but locally to an inch or more, especially in western Oregon. No precipitation is predicted for most of California to the Southern Plains, or along the Canadian border from Washington to North Dakota. Temperatures are forecast to be below normal, except for parts of the Southwest, Southeast, and Northeast.

For the ensuing five days (November 24-28), the odds favor below median precipitation in the Pacific Northwest and along the entire East Coast of the CONUS. With a southerly flow out of the Gulf of Mexico, above-median precipitation is expected across the rest of the country, especially across the southern and central Plains to Midwest. Below-normal temperatures are expected across most of the West and into the northern Plains, with above-normal temperatures from New Mexico to the Great Lakes and eastward, except for near-normal temperatures in the Southeast.

Follow this link to view current U.S. and international weather patterns and the future outlook: Weather and Crop Bulletin.