Market Perspectives – June 26, 2015

U.S. Weather/Crop Progress


U.S. Drought Monitor Weather Forecast: For the upcoming period of June 26-29, hot and dry weather should prevail west of the Rockies’ Front Range, except in parts of the desert Southwest. Little, if any, precipitation is expected and daily high temperatures from Utah and Nevada northward through the northern Rockies and Intermountain West will average 9-18 degrees F above normal, with even higher departures possible along the east side of the Cascades. Near normal temperatures and light to moderate precipitation are forecast for the Plains and southeastern Rockies, with over an inch of possible in the higher elevations of south-central Colorado and adjacent New Mexico. Light to moderate rain is also expected across the Great Lakes and northern New England, along with cooler than normal temperatures (daily highs should average 3-6 degrees F below normal). Moderate-to-heavy rainfall, generally exceeding an inch, is expected from the Midwest, Ohio Valley and lower Northeast southward through the Gulf Coast and Florida. Over an inch of rain is anticipated everywhere except parts of Florida, with 2-5 inches potentially falling on the Ohio Valley, central to northern Appalachians and mid-Atlantic region.

For the ensuing period of June 30-July 4, continued above-normal temperatures are favored in most of the West and across the Gulf Coast and southern Atlantic regions, including Florida. Meanwhile, the odds favor anomalously cool weather from the Plains eastward through the upper Southeast, Ohio Valley, Great Lakes and interior portions of the mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Drier-than-normal conditions are favored across Florida and in a swath from the northern Plains to the Pacific Northwest. Enhanced chances for above-normal precipitation cover a large part of the rest of the contiguous 48 states, excepting California, the central Gulf Coast and in a strip from the northern Intermountain West eastward through the Dakotas and Minnesota, south of the area where subnormal precipitation is favored. Follow this link to view current U.S. and international weather patterns and the future outlook: Weather and Crop Bulletin.