Ethanol, Fuels and Co-Product Pricing
Market Outlook: U.S. ethanol prices ended last week 7.9 percent higher and are extending those gains in early week trading, up 1 percent through Tuesday’s close. Midwest wholesale rack ethanol prices were lower to end last week but are up 2.8 percent through Tuesday’s market close to their last quote of 30.2 cents/liter (114.33 cents/gallon).
FOB Houston ethanol prices finished last week 1.7 percent lower but are up 7.5 percent through Tuesday’s trading from Friday’s close. FOB Houston ethanol prices are quoted at 26.79 cents/liter (101.4 cents/gallon). FOB Santos, Brazil anhydrous ethanol prices were lower last week; they are down in early week trading, falling 1.6 percent to 36.07 cents/liter (136.55 cents/gallon) through Tuesday’s trading.
The FOB Gulf-Santos, Brazil ethanol spread has narrowed from last week’s close through Tuesday’s trading and is currently at -9.29 cents/liter (35.15 cents/gallon).
MTBE prices rose 7.2 percent last week but have erased some of those losses in early week trading, up 8.9 percent from Friday’s close through Tuesday’s trading. MTBE’s premium to FOB Houston ethanol has decreased from last week’s report and stands at -8.7 cents/liter (-32.94 cents/gallon).
BTX component prices were mixed last week and are continuing that trend through Tuesday’s market close: Benzene is up 8 percent while Toluene is down 3.1 percent, and Xylene is down 1.8 percent. The estimated weighted average aromatic price is currently 25.93 cents/liter (98.15 cents/gallon), down from last Friday’s close. The BTX-Houston ethanol spread narrowed last week, and the weighted average BTX price is -0.86 cents/liter (-3.25 cents/gallon) lower than the FOB Houston ethanol price.
Gasoline and petroleum products were lower last week but have reversed that trend in early week trading. RBOB futures are up 6.3 percent to start the week while 84 octane RBOB (Houston) and 87 octane CBOB (U.S. Gulf) gasoline prices are up 10.6 and up 8 percent, respectively. WTI futures are 11.6 percent lower at $20.11/barrel while Brent futures are down 4.6 percent to $30.04/barrel, from Friday through Tuesday’s close.
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