China has long been considered a potential market for U.S. corn. However, until last year, when China purchased nearly 60 million bushels (1.5 million metric tons), of U.S. corn, that potential always seemed to be just out of reach.
In light of this, the U.S. Grains Councilâ€™s Officers Mission participants last week learned that many in China expect imports of U.S. corn to continue.
â€œEstimates given to us were that China is short 10-15 million metric tons (394-591 million bushels) in stocks and will need to purchase corn this year,â€� said Terry Vinduska, USGC chairman and Board member for Kansas Corn Commission.
â€œWe learned the government normally keeps stocks at 30 percent but they are currently a little over 5 percent, which may lead to imports of 3-9 million tons (118-354 million bushels).â€�
While in China, USGC officers, accompanied by leaders from the National Corn Growers Association, met with analysts and industry experts who reported corn demand in China continues to be strong because of an economy growing at 8-10 percent annually.
â€œNow is the time to stay focused on the long-term market development objectives of being a reliable supplier for China,â€� Vinduska said. â€œWe need to build a trusted trade relationship.â€�
The group also discussed Chinaâ€™s anti-dumping investigation against imports of U.S. distillerâ€™s dried grains with or without solubles (DDGS).
â€œEverywhere we went, we were encouraged that the case will be handled well,â€� Vinduska said. â€œIn fact, we found that importers would like to more than double the 3 million tons of U.S. DDGS China imported last year, eventually reaching 10 million tons in annual imports. However, they recognize the tremendous growth shown in 2010 may need to slow down to allow internal markets to adjust. One way to slow the growth was to launch the anti-dumping case.â€�
In addition to meeting with analysts and trade groups in China, the Officers Mission participants met with representatives from Chinaâ€™s Ministry of Finance and Commerce and its Bureau of Fair Trade â€“ organizations overseeing the anti-dumping investigation.
Thomas C. Dorr, USGC president and CEO, said that following the meetings, he believes there will be a positive outcome from the anti-dumping case.
â€œBecause of the case, more individuals and ministries within China are familiar with the Councilâ€™s work and the respect weâ€™ve earned over our decades of service,â€� Dorr said. â€œCouncil efforts to maintain open and honest communication are helping everyone involved learn more about DDGS and the important role it can play in helping feed livestock and poultry in China.â€�
Dorr and Vinduska also noted that having members of NCGAâ€™s leadership team on the Officersâ€™ Mission was very useful in furthering discussion opportunities pertaining to international trade.
â€œHaving farmer-leaders from the U.S. corn industry engaged in our meetings provided important insight into the opportunities and challenges of the global marketplace,â€� Vinduska said. â€œTheir credibility added weight to the point that the United States is and will remain a reliable supplier of corn and DDGS to China.â€�
About the U.S. Grains Council
The U.S. Grains Council develops export markets for U.S. barley, corn, sorghum and related products including distiller’s dried grains with solubles (DDGS) and ethanol. With full-time presence in 13 key markets and representatives in an additional 15 locations, the Council operates programs in more than 50 countries and the European Union. The Council believes exports are vital to global economic development and to U.S. agriculture’s profitability. Detailed information about the Council and its programs is online at www.grains.org.