Ethanol Market and Pricing Data – November 3, 2020

Ethanol, Fuels and Co-Product Pricing

Market Outlook: U.S. ethanol prices ended last week 3.2 percent lower but are firmer in early week trading, up 0.3 percent through Tuesday’s close. Midwest wholesale rack ethanol prices were lower to end last week and are down 0.2 percent through Tuesday’s market close to their last quote of 43.01 cents/liter (162.8 cents/gallon).

FOB Houston ethanol prices finished last week 2.3 percent higher but are down 4.3 percent through Tuesday’s trading from Friday’s close. FOB Houston ethanol prices are quoted at 41.75 cents/liter (158.03 cents/gallon). FOB Santos, Brazil anhydrous ethanol prices were lower last week; they are down in early week trading, falling 1.1 percent to 45.49 cents/liter (172.2 cents/gallon) through Tuesday’s trading.

The FOB Gulf-Santos, Brazil ethanol spread has widened from last week’s close through Tuesday’s trading and is currently at -3.74 cents/liter (-14.18 cents/gallon).

MTBE prices fell 3.6 percent last week and are extending those losses in early week trading, down 3.7 percent from Friday’s close through Tuesday’s trading. MTBE’s premium to FOB Houston ethanol has increased from last week’s report and stands at -11.09 cents/liter (-42 cents/gallon).

BTX component prices were mixed last week and are mixed through Tuesday’s market close: Benzene is up 5 percent while Toluene is down 3.5 percent, and Xylene is down 4.2 percent. The estimated weighted average aromatic price is currently 40.32 cents/liter (152.63 cents/gallon), down from last Friday’s close. The BTX-Houston ethanol spread widened last week, and the weighted average BTX price is -1.42 cents/liter (-5.39 cents/gallon) lower than the FOB Houston ethanol price.

Gasoline and petroleum products were sharply lower last week but are reversing that trend in early week trading. RBOB futures are up 4.3 percent to start the week while 84 octane RBOB (Houston) and 87 octane CBOB (U.S. Gulf) gasoline prices are up 4.8 and up 4.7 percent, respectively. WTI futures are 5.2 percent higher at $37.66/barrel while Brent futures are up 5.6 percent to $40.06/barrel, from Friday through Tuesday’s close.

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